The US Election result - expert reaction
In the end it seems that the endorsement of Hulk Hogan mattered more than the backing of Taylor Swift. If the 2024 presidential election wasn青瓜视频檛 confusing enough before the polls delivered their verdict, then Donald Trump青瓜视频檚 decisive victory on Tuesday proved that you could turn any sort of popularity 青瓜视频 or infamy 青瓜视频 on its head.
In The Guardian, Rebecca Solnit suggested that the nation青瓜视频檚 problem in the wake of this result was that too many of its citizens believed that they lived in a better country than they really did. Solnit laid the root of the problem at the doors of toxic masculinity, the power of Silicon Valley 青瓜视频 and for the benefit of this election cycle and era, that may as well be shorthand for Elon Musk 青瓜视频 and 青瓜视频渢he failure of the news media青瓜视频.
Solnit may well be right about the first two elements, but I青瓜视频檓 not so sure about the third. Political incompetence, misogyny, criminal conviction, a litany of cases filed against him, two attempts at impeachment and a riot in the US Capitol building that was as good an endorsement of insurrection in America as anything since the Civil War. It青瓜视频檚 true that this list - which would be a death knell for any other politician - barely scratches the surface of Trump青瓜视频檚 crimes and misdemeanours, but were these and much else besides given scant coverage by the media, at home or abroad?
If the media were at all culpable in the second coming of Donald Trump, it is perhaps in writing his obituary just one too many times, as well as boosting the popularity of Harris just a touch further than was translated into ballots cast for her. At its height, in late August, Harris青瓜视频檚 bump in the polls on the back of her taking over the Democratic nomination from Joe Biden and securing that endorsement at a very successful party convention, still amounted to no more than a four-point advantage over Trump.
It青瓜视频檚 also a striking indictment of some polling that post-election analysis has started picking up on crypto betting markets in the US like Polymarket offering much more accurate odds on a Trump victory weeks ago, and that set against accusations the site was being manipulated at the time by pro-Trump supporters trying to inflate his chances.
If tracking polls can青瓜视频檛 be trusted anymore, and if gamblers know the inside story more than political analysts, then we might as well just listen to the celebrity endorsements and track where popular reaction goes from there.
At the Republican National Convention in July former wrestler Hogan ripped his shirt open and declared, 青瓜视频淟et Trumpmania run wild, brother! Let Trumpmania make America great again!青瓜视频 In September, best-selling artist Swift endorsed Harris just after the one and only presidential debate had taken place between the two candidates. 青瓜视频淚 believe we can accomplish so much more in this country if we are led by calm and not chaos," she said in an Instagram post that was signed off with the phrase, 青瓜视频榗hildless cat lady青瓜视频 a reference to vice-presidential nominee J.D. Vance青瓜视频檚 comment in a 2021 Fox News interview about the kind of people he thought were running the country. Swift青瓜视频檚 post got as many as 340,000 Americans registering to vote within hours. In interview, meanwhile, Hogan thought he青瓜视频檇 make a good vice-president one day.
On Tuesday, over 72 million Americans decided that the country青瓜视频檚 future was in safer hands with Trumpmania and wrestling celebrities who thought they had a shot at public office, than calm and sober judgement as practiced by the biggest pop star on the planet. In four years青瓜视频 time, one of them is likely to have the last laugh.
Ian Scott, Professor of American Film and History